2017 Fantasy Baseball Rankings – Pitchers – Week 17

Week 17 fantasy baseball rankings for pitchers are listed below. Looking at the top 10, we can see a great example of  the effect of skill versus luck. Chris Sale, our number 1 pitcher this week and Jeff Samardzija, our number 7 pitcher, clearly show us how luck can truly affect a solid set of skills.

Now, please note that as we provide you with this analogy below, we are in no way claiming that these two pitchers are equal in overall skills. We’re simply using the fantasy baseball performances of these pitchers to show how actual numbers do not necessarily reflect the skills of the pitcher.

The first and foremost point I’d like to make here in this comparison is the fact that based on our standard scoring system, Samardzija ranks only 26 fantasy baseball points behind Sale. When you look below at their overall performance numbers used in most 5 x 5 scoring, this most likely surprise you.

GS IP W L SO ERA WHIP IP Pnts
Sale 21 148.1 13 4 211 2.37 0.88 296.2
Samardzija 21 135.1 5 11 146 4.85 1.18 270.2

You can see overall that Samardzija, by the performance numbers is well behind Sale. However, as we break down the skills we can see that Samardzija is not really pitching that bad. His numbers are the result of some unfavorable luck in several areas. Look below.

K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/FB
Sale 12.8 1.64 7.81 8%
Samardzija 9.71 1.13 8.59 17%

Raw skills shows that although Sale is much more of a power pitcher when it comes to strikeout ability, Samardzija has much better control control. In the end, this helps to even out the over K/BB rate showing Samardzija with the edge. However, Sale’s ability to keep in the park by a 1 to 2 ration truly helps his ERA numbers. This is shown clearly by the table below.

ERA xFIP
Sale 2.37 2.65
Samardzija 4.85 3.14

Looking at the above table, we can see that Sale’s ERA is fully backed by his xFIP. Samardzija, on the other hand shows the result of the extra long balls compared to what his xFIP says with regard to overall pitching skills.

BABIP LOB%
Sale 0.287 78%
Samardzija 0.329 66%

The above table, to me, clearly shows that Samardzija is suffering from some bad luck whereas Sale isn’t. While Sale’s numbers are truly inline with league averages, Samardzija is clearly not. 66% strand rate with an elevated BABIP usually doesn’t bode well for a pitchers’ performance numbers.

Below is the full list of pitchers for our week 17 fantasy baseball rankings and as always your comments are welcome and sharing is encouraged. Until, next week, good luck with all your fantasy baseball teams.

RankPercentileNameTeamGSIPWSVBSERAWHIPSOBABIPxFIPTotal
11.00Chris SaleRed Sox21148.113002.370.882110.2872.65369
21.00Max ScherzerNationals21145.112002.230.852010.2363.08325
31.00Clayton KershawDodgers21141.115002.040.881680.2512.73298
40.99Zack GreinkeDiamondbacks21136.113002.841.001490.2723.22261
50.99Chris ArcherRays22142.07003.801.251770.3303.38258
60.99Corey KluberIndians17114.28002.900.991610.3022.42256
70.99Jeff SamardzijaGiants21135.15004.851.181460.3293.14248
80.99Luis SeverinoYankees20127.27003.031.091450.2913.09246
90.99Jacob deGromMets21139.212003.291.151620.2893.37238
100.99Jimmy NelsonBrewers21127.28003.381.201420.3253.15231
110.98Stephen StrasburgNationals20121.210003.251.121410.2833.52224
120.98Michael FulmerTigers20134.110003.351.10950.2734.09220
130.98Carlos CarrascoIndians20123.110003.581.091350.2913.45219
140.98James PaxtonMariners18107.111002.681.101250.3033.23219
150.98Yu DarvishRangers22137.06004.011.171480.2753.81215
160.98Carlos MartinezCardinals21135.17003.521.191440.2773.63209
170.97Alex WoodDodgers1698.112002.380.991100.2662.84202
180.97Jon LesterCubs22130.08003.881.211300.2893.63196
190.97Rick PorcelloRed Sox22140.14004.551.381260.3324.33196
200.97Ivan NovaPirates21136.210003.751.18840.2904.02193
210.97Gerrit ColePirates22133.29003.971.251200.2943.87190
220.97Lance McCullersAstros19105.27003.921.291180.3313.06188
230.97Jose Quintana- - -21123.16004.161.261340.2953.93187
240.96Alex CobbRays21138.09003.461.17900.2684.47186
250.96Gio GonzalezNationals21134.18002.811.181270.2514.27185
260.96Kenley JansenDodgers046.152711.360.69690.2632.19182
270.96Marcus StromanBlue Jays21131.19003.081.311090.3133.62182
280.96Robbie RayDiamondbacks20118.29003.111.231510.2723.89179
290.96Masahiro TanakaYankees21123.28005.091.271320.3093.54178
300.96Craig KimbrelRed Sox043.222531.240.60800.2421.25178
310.95Sean ManaeaAthletics19113.08003.821.231100.2954.15177
320.95Mike LeakeCardinals21128.27003.291.24870.2853.99174
330.95Dan StrailyMarlins22123.17003.791.201110.2764.71174
340.95Aaron NolaPhillies1699.18003.171.171070.2963.47172
350.95Jake ArrietaCubs21120.210004.031.231160.2774.06171
360.95Michael WachaCardinals19106.28003.711.281050.3183.69170
370.94Drew PomeranzRed Sox21114.110003.461.351190.3153.90165
380.94Zack GodleyDiamondbacks1488.14003.061.01910.2563.17164
390.94Jason VargasRoyals20120.013003.001.23860.2834.91162
390.94Sonny GrayAthletics1697.06003.431.18940.2853.29162
410.94Josh TomlinIndians20110.17005.381.30860.3284.08160
420.94Lance LynnCardinals22126.29003.201.121100.2254.57159
430.94Ervin SantanaTwins21136.111003.371.141040.2274.89159
440.93Justin VerlanderTigers22130.06004.291.441260.3044.81158
450.93Roberto OsunaBlue Jays043.132652.490.76590.2742.40157
460.93Jordan MontgomeryYankees20110.27004.151.271040.2894.50157
470.93Danny DuffyRoyals16101.07003.561.27790.3134.67154
480.93Jhoulys ChacinPadres21119.110004.221.291010.2844.24153
490.93Patrick CorbinDiamondbacks21119.28004.361.511120.3453.94152
500.93German MarquezRockies1797.09004.081.29950.3134.10152
510.92Chase AndersonBrewers1690.16002.891.11850.2724.33151
520.92Tanner RoarkNationals20118.28004.931.401040.3094.34149
530.92Jason HammelRoyals21119.15004.751.39930.3055.08149
540.92Jaime Garcia- - -19119.25004.291.34920.2944.18148
550.92Adam WainwrightCardinals20110.111004.891.42950.3254.05148
560.92Trevor BauerIndians20106.19005.251.461170.3453.73147
570.91Taijuan WalkerDiamondbacks1799.06003.551.27920.2824.27143
580.91Ty BlachGiants17113.06004.381.33560.3034.69143
590.91Felipe RiveroPirates053.24900.670.71620.1872.96142
600.91Clayton RichardPadres22133.15005.401.61950.3643.94142
610.91Ariel MirandaMariners21121.07004.311.15980.2275.19139
620.91Dallas KeuchelAstros1278.29001.940.95720.2352.97138
630.90Brad PeacockAstros1175.29002.621.221010.2903.74138
630.90JC RamirezAngels20121.29014.291.34960.2954.34138
650.90Mike FiersAstros20111.27003.711.281140.2754.21137
660.90Greg HollandRockies038.113311.641.04500.2533.67137
670.90Kenta MaedaDodgers1688.09104.091.20840.2884.12137
680.90Zach DaviesBrewers22124.112004.421.42860.3084.57137
690.90Andrew MillerIndians053.14211.520.73770.2102.54136
700.90Mike FoltynewiczBraves19110.29003.821.381010.3014.52135
710.89Johnny CuetoGiants19115.26004.591.401030.3024.43134
720.89Dylan BundyOrioles20119.19004.531.27920.2705.23133
720.89Marco EstradaBlue Jays21114.14005.431.491220.3234.80133
740.89Raisel IglesiasReds050.221711.950.97610.2463.11133
750.89Brandon McCarthyDodgers1686.26003.841.23660.2974.38132
760.89Michael PinedaYankees1796.18004.391.29920.3023.60131
770.88Jose BerriosTwins1483.29003.761.20780.2864.46130
780.88Scott FeldmanReds19103.27004.341.31860.2964.11128
790.88Charlie MortonAstros1482.18003.831.25920.2943.71128
800.88R.A. DickeyBraves21128.06004.081.39900.2834.98128
810.88Rich HillDodgers1578.08003.351.18900.2744.30127
820.88Corey KnebelBrewers048.101851.681.18850.3092.78126
830.88Addison ReedMets049.011922.571.12480.3073.89126
840.87Brad HandPadres054.02632.000.96700.2832.74125
850.87Kyle FreelandRockies20121.111003.711.38760.2854.75123
860.87Chris DevenskiAstros059.26342.870.84780.2182.95123
870.87Yusmeiro PetitAngels160.22112.520.96640.2653.92122
880.87Trevor WilliamsPirates1593.14004.531.32650.2954.49122
890.87Ricky NolascoAngels21119.04005.071.39960.3034.60121
900.87Joe BiaginiBlue Jays1185.23124.831.27720.2913.89120
910.86John LackeyCubs20114.28004.871.33990.2744.67119
920.86Chad KuhlPirates21102.13004.841.49840.3274.67119
930.86Matt MooreGiants21117.23005.741.591000.3315.12118
940.86Wade DavisCubs036.022202.001.11500.2823.31118
940.86Jameson TaillonPirates1476.06004.031.45730.3563.66118
960.85Ian KennedyRoyals19103.24004.431.17900.2245.05117
960.85Jerad EickhoffPhillies1898.22004.561.48900.3184.81117
980.85CC SabathiaYankees1793.19003.661.29740.2734.47116
990.85Kevin GausmanOrioles23120.28005.371.681120.3654.54116
1000.85Alex ColomeRays047.223053.591.34410.2894.82114
1010.85Brandon KintzlerTwins045.122842.781.15270.2734.08114
1020.85Ken GilesAstros037.212223.111.04450.2583.66113
1030.85Cody AllenIndians042.201912.741.24560.3203.77112
1040.84Luis PerdomoPadres1898.15004.761.55760.3444.02111
1050.84Antonio SenzatelaRockies17102.110004.841.28750.2674.46110
1060.84Hyun-Jin RyuDodgers1584.23103.831.37810.3223.88109
1070.84Brandon Maurer- - -042.012035.361.21420.3223.65109
1080.84Randall DelgadoDiamondbacks562.21113.591.18600.3023.53108
1090.84Jeremy HellicksonPhillies20112.16004.731.26650.2555.38108
1100.83Tommy Kahnle- - -041.11042.180.90690.3381.68105
1100.83Brad BrachOrioles044.121642.640.92480.2213.79105
1120.83Jim JohnsonBraves043.062284.191.28510.3133.33105
1130.83Eduardo RodriguezRed Sox1375.24004.161.30840.2934.29104
1140.83Martin PerezRangers20112.15005.131.64740.3504.69104
1150.83Trevor RosenthalCardinals042.03623.431.12670.3262.42104
1160.82Mike MontgomeryCubs883.13203.781.33700.2774.37104
1160.82Matt GarzaBrewers1582.14003.831.26560.2764.71104
1180.82David Robertson- - -039.141322.750.89550.2282.98103
1190.82Jose UrenaMarlins16100.19004.041.28700.2495.49103
1200.82Chad GreenYankees144.11011.830.74620.2022.99102
1200.82Blake ParkerAngels046.13122.140.91610.2552.63102
1220.82Danny SalazarIndians1268.04004.631.37930.3273.40102
1230.82Mike MinorRoyals050.25002.491.01560.2683.62101
1240.81Archie BradleyDiamondbacks048.03031.500.94550.2772.89100
1250.81Justin WilsonTigers040.131322.680.94550.2103.4799
1260.81Jesse ChavezAngels21114.15005.431.43880.2954.8399
1270.81Kyle HendricksCubs1371.04003.801.24590.2843.9199
1280.81Erasmo RamirezRays869.14114.801.18550.2804.1298
1290.81Kelvin HerreraRoyals042.032334.071.24420.2783.9298
1300.81Julio TeheranBraves21120.17005.091.41910.2705.1598
1310.80Ryan Madson- - -044.13131.830.79460.2482.4996
1310.80Anthony Swarzak- - -050.14122.321.03540.2853.7996
1330.80Mike ClevingerIndians1370.15003.201.21780.2524.2396
1330.80Edinson VolquezMarlins1792.14004.191.42810.2784.7896
1330.80Jordan ZimmermannTigers20112.16005.691.51770.3175.3096
1360.79Seung Hwan OhCardinals047.011833.641.36460.3174.7496
1360.79David PriceRed Sox1166.05003.821.27630.2874.4596
1380.79Edwin DiazMariners043.221943.301.21600.2553.8096
1390.79Pat Neshek- - -042.03121.290.81470.2633.0996
1390.79Andrew CashnerRangers17101.06003.481.37510.2735.2696
1410.79Trevor Cahill- - -1265.04004.151.42740.3373.5095
1420.79J.A. HappBlue Jays1478.03004.151.33700.2824.2595
1420.79Joe MusgroveAstros1583.05005.861.47720.3334.2795
1440.78Madison BumgarnerGiants852.11002.921.05490.2684.0094
1450.78Jacob FariaRays1061.15002.931.16580.2654.5194
1460.78Hector NerisPhillies048.04933.001.21520.3024.0994
1470.78Tim AdlemanReds19104.25005.421.41940.2845.0892
1480.78Yovani GallardoMariners1697.25105.341.47720.2954.9391
1490.78Ryan TeperaBlue Jays052.15113.441.07560.2484.2690
1500.77Alex ClaudioRangers153.02422.381.00330.2533.2390

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Doug Lukas

A passionate fantasy baseball enthusiast with a love for statistics and data analysis.
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